If 2025 felt like the markets were determined to prove that gravity is optional, you weren’t imagining it. Stocks delivered strong returns, optimism stayed high, and investors were rewarded for the bold strategy of… simply staying invested. Despite the usual headlines predicting imminent disaster, the year ended with portfolios in a much better place than where they began a welcome reminder that patience and discipline are still powerful investing tools. 

Now, as we step into 2026, the market narrative is shifting from “How high can we go?” to “What could possibly go wrong?” This month’s focus is on two forces that can meaningfully influence markets and planning outcomes: the Federal Reserve’s next act as it navigates rates in 2026, and the policy-heavy tax themes expected to shape this year’s filing season and beyond.

What’s Next for the Fed in 2026

Morningstar looks at what investors should pay attention to as the Fed enters the next phase of its policy cycle. After last year’s market strength and shifting rate expectations, the Fed is now trying to strike a balance—keeping inflation under control without slowing the economy too much. The big takeaway: markets will remain highly sensitive to every inflation print, labor update, and Fed statement, even when the actual policy changes are small. 

Why It Matters: Interest rates affect just about everything: bond prices, stock valuations, mortgage rates, and even the yield on cash savings. Even after a strong 2025, rate-driven volatility can still create sudden swings especially in rate-sensitive sectors. This is a good time for clients holding large cash balances, to revisit what their cash strategy should look like if rates decline further.

2026 Tax Stories to Watch: Filing Season, ACA Tax Credits, and Tariffs

Howard Gleckman at Forbes highlights key tax issues likely to dominate 2026. The article points to filing-season developments, ongoing uncertainty around ACA premium tax credits, and the economic and policy implications of tariffs. The broader theme: tax planning in 2026 may be shaped as much by politics and inflation pressures as it is by personal financial decisions. 

Why It Matters: Tax policy isn’t always exciting, but it’s almost always expensive when ignored. ACA credits can materially affect healthcare costs for early retirees, and tariff-related policy shifts can have downstream impacts on prices, inflation, and government responses. This is a good reminder to stay proactive: organize tax documents early, review withholding and estimated payments, and revisit strategies like charitable giving, Roth conversions, and income planning before deadlines sneak up.

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